Posted by: expatbrazil | 22 January, 2008

CLB - Bovespa & Real Bounce Back

US$ vs Real
Bovespa 22 Jan 08

The interest rate cut in the US did the trick…for now anyway.

The Bovespa gained 4.56% today recuperating a good part of what it lost yesterday.

The Real dropped 2.07% to R$ 1.792 gaining back most of its yesterday lost. If the EU doesn’t drop their interest rates, the US$ could be in for more battering in the coming weeks here in Brazil; and around the world for that matter.

The Ag commodities, which lost value yesterday, also have bounced back. There is much talk the more foreign capital will be flowing into Brazil to invest in farms, ethanol plants and other ag related investments.

> Good article in Fortune Magazine about Ag Brazil.

Brazil’s economy is on a much sounder footing than previous “economic crisis”. This meltdown is not over, but for today, the blood has stopped flowing.

So we survive another crisis (for now) to drink good Brazilian beer and eat a lot more Churrasco. (if you don’t know what Churrasco is, do a site search)

Responses

Sorry to post this as a comment, I tried to find a contact email but didn’t. Make sure you read this article in today’s WSJ. Don’t know how long it will be up, by the url it looks like it may change when a new article is written. It is in todays (Jan. 28, 2008) online version.
http://online.wsj.com/article/the_americas.html
Tax-Happy Brazil Hits the Wall

Hello,
Just was searching the net looking for a historical account of the Real’s previous collapse compared to the performance of the Bovespa at the time and found your blog. As far as being an Expat in Brazil since 1986, Good for you ! I have personally been considering expatriating myself lately… If you happen to have an article or link to such a study, please let me know as it would be interesting to contrast the Real crisis with the games being played in the US now with the dollar and the stock market.
Gracias

Hi Jeff,

Let me look around and see if I can come up with the Bovespa number for the last five to ten years.

I don’t understand your comment “Real’s previous collapse”. It has always been “collapsed” until the last 18 months or so.

Brazil go Investment Grade yesterday so the Real is expected to strength even more as more US$ pour in to the Bovespa and direct investment.

ExpatBrazil

ExpatBrazil, I thought there was a debt crisis years ago requiring IMF intervention when the value plunged severely ? I am curious to see how the Bovespa’s nominal performance coincided with the movement in the Real during the period. In short, a ten year chart of the Bovespa and a 10 year chart of the real. The Bovespa may be easier for you to come across than the Real as it is not easy for me to find a 10 year US dollar chart either… Thanks !

Jeff,

Here are the charts you were asking about.

ExpatBrazil

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